Abstract:
Due to the demand for the time matching of different satellites data during cross-calibration of electromagnetic detection data, this paper analyzes the error distribution features of electron density (
Ne) simulated based on the international reference ionosphere (IRI) model at different latitudes by using the time series data of DEMETER satellite. At the same time, based on the autoregre-ssive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model, the
Ne data time series forecasting model is constructed. By comparing with the IRI model, the advantages and disadvantages of ARIMA model are analyzed in simulated prediction of the
Ne time series data. The results show that the relative error of ARIMA forecasting model is small in the short-time (the relative error less than 10%), however, becomes greater in the long time. Whereas, the relative error of IRI model in simulated prediction of
Ne time series data does not become larger in the long time, and the relative error at high latitudes is lower than that at low and moderate latitudes.