Evolution characteristics of precursory anomalies before the MS6.4 Menyuan,Qinghai,earthquake in 2016
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摘要:
本文对2016年青海门源MS6.4地震之前震中周边前兆台站的观测资料进行了回顾性分析,结果显示有15项定点前兆测项震前呈异常,主要集中在距震中300 km的范围内,其中形变类异常最先出现,之后以流体类异常为主,临震阶段以电磁类异常为主。震前前兆异常的演化在时空上具有阶段性和迁移性,震前异常出现时间随震中距的变化划分为三个阶段:α阶段为远源场前兆异常从震中向外围扩散的过程,异常主要出现在震前390—630天;β阶段为前兆异常大范围分布,主要出现在震前100—200天;γ阶段主要为近源场异常向外扩散。
Abstract:By retrospectively analyzing and sorting out the anomalies before the 2016 Menyuan MS6.4 earthquake, this paper discusses the spatio-temporal evolution characteristics of precursory anomalies before the earthquake. The results show that the anomalies are mainly concentrated in the region within 300 km around the epicenter. Among all kinds of the anomalies, deformation anomalies appeared first, followed by medium- and short-term fluid anomalies, and electromagnetic anomalies in the impending earthquake stage. The evolution of precursory anomalies appears as stage and migration characteristics in space-time. The variation of pre-earthquake anomalies can be divided into α, β, γ three stages. During the α stage, the precursory anomalies spread from the epicenter to the periphery in the far source field mainly 390−630 days before earthquakes. During the β stage, the precursory anomalies are widely distributed in 100−200 days before earthquakes. During the γ stage, the precursory anomalies of the near-field source spread outwards.
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Keywords:
- Menyuan MS6.4 /
- precursory anomalies /
- spatio-temporal evolution /
- three stages
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表 1 门源MS6.4地震前兆异常分布
Table 1 Distribution of precursory anomalies of the Menyuan MS6.4 earthquake
震中距/km 异常项 异常台站所占比例 100 2 20% 100—200 3 29% 200—300 3 20% >300 7 20% 表 2 门源MS6.4地震前兆异常统计
Table 2 Statistics on precursory anomalies of the Menyuan MS6.4 earthquake
序号 异常项目 台站 异常出现日期
年-月-日异常结束日期
年-月-日异常判据 震中距
/km震例 1 水平摆倾斜 门源 2015-08-18 2015-08-27 转折变化 31 乌兰MS5.1,祁连MS5.2,门源MS6.4 2 垂直摆倾斜 门源 2015-08-18 2015-08-27 转折变化 31 乌兰MS5.1,祁连MS5.2,门源MS6.4 3 静水位 平安 2015-09-01 2016-01-01 年变异常变化 140 门源MS6.4 4 钻孔倾斜 湟源 2015-11-01 2016-02-01 持续北倾 130 门源MS6.4 5 气氡 乐都 2015-12-01 2016-03-01 年变异常变化 140 门源MS6.4 6 钻孔倾斜 寺滩 2016-01-17 2016-01-24 加速北倾 203 门源MS6.4 7 洞体应变 白银 2015-01-01 2015-10-01 年变异常变化 250 玉树MS7.1,门源MS6.4 8 短基线伸缩仪NS分量 兰州十
里店2014-05-01 2016-01-01 趋势转折 258 门源MS6.4 9 水温 海原 2015-08-01 2015-11-01 转折上升 350 汶川MS8.0,阿拉善MS5.8,门源MS6.4 10 气氡 嘉峪关 2015-09-01 未结束 高值变化 392 玉门MS5.9,民乐MS6.0,海西MS6.3,
海西MS6.4,门源MS6.411 钻孔应变 格尔木 2015-01-01 2016-02-01 年变异常变化 640 海西MS6.4,玉树MS7.1,门源MS6.4 12 水平摆倾 格尔木 2015-01-01 2016-02-01 趋势性转折 640 海西MS6.3,海西MS6.4,
玉树MS7.1,门源MS6.413 深井地电 天水 2016-01-05 2016-01-21 加速上升 522 芦山MS7.0,岷嶂MS6.6,门源MS6.4 14 地磁 2015-12-23 2015-12-23 超阈值 岷嶂MS6.6,门源MS6.4,
阿拉善MS5.0,九寨沟MS7.015 水温 玉树 2015-10-07 2015-11-17 “V”形变化 756 尼泊尔MS8.0,玉树MS7.1,
门源MS6.4,杂多MS6.2 -
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