2016年门源MS6.4地震前兆异常演化特征

苏维刚, 王培玲, 冯丽丽, 马震, 赵玉红

苏维刚,王培玲,冯丽丽,马震,赵玉红. 2020. 2016年门源 M S6.4地震前兆异常演化特征. 地震学报,42(1):24−33. doi:10.11939/jass.20190108. DOI: 10.11939/jass.20190108
引用本文: 苏维刚,王培玲,冯丽丽,马震,赵玉红. 2020. 2016年门源 M S6.4地震前兆异常演化特征. 地震学报,42(1):24−33. doi:10.11939/jass.20190108. DOI: 10.11939/jass.20190108
Su W G,Wang P L,Feng L L,Ma Z,Zhao Y H. 2020. Evolution characteristics of precursory anomalies before the M S6.4 Menyuan,Qinghai,earthquake in 2016. Acta Seismologica Sinica42(1):24−33. doi:10.11939/jass.20190108. DOI: 10.11939/jass.20190108
Citation: Su W G,Wang P L,Feng L L,Ma Z,Zhao Y H. 2020. Evolution characteristics of precursory anomalies before the M S6.4 Menyuan,Qinghai,earthquake in 2016. Acta Seismologica Sinica42(1):24−33. doi:10.11939/jass.20190108. DOI: 10.11939/jass.20190108

2016年门源MS6.4地震前兆异常演化特征

基金项目: 青海省地震科技基金(2019B08)和中国地震局地震科技星火计划专项(XH20062)联合资助
详细信息
    通讯作者:

    冯丽丽: e-mail:liuwbst@163.com

  • 中图分类号: P315.72

Evolution characteristics of precursory anomalies before the MS6.4 Menyuan,Qinghai,earthquake in 2016

  • 摘要:

    本文对2016年青海门源MS6.4地震之前震中周边前兆台站的观测资料进行了回顾性分析,结果显示有15项定点前兆测项震前呈异常,主要集中在距震中300 km的范围内,其中形变类异常最先出现,之后以流体类异常为主,临震阶段以电磁类异常为主。震前前兆异常的演化在时空上具有阶段性和迁移性,震前异常出现时间随震中距的变化划分为三个阶段:α阶段为远源场前兆异常从震中向外围扩散的过程,异常主要出现在震前390—630天;β阶段为前兆异常大范围分布,主要出现在震前100—200天;γ阶段主要为近源场异常向外扩散。

    Abstract:

    By retrospectively analyzing and sorting out the anomalies before the 2016 Menyuan MS6.4 earthquake, this paper discusses the spatio-temporal evolution characteristics of precursory anomalies before the earthquake. The results show that the anomalies are mainly concentrated in the region within 300 km around the epicenter. Among all kinds of the anomalies, deformation anomalies appeared first, followed by medium- and short-term fluid anomalies, and electromagnetic anomalies in the impending earthquake stage. The evolution of precursory anomalies appears as stage and migration characteristics in space-time. The variation of pre-earthquake anomalies can be divided into α, β, γ three stages. During the α stage, the precursory anomalies spread from the epicenter to the periphery in the far source field mainly 390−630 days before earthquakes. During the β stage, the precursory anomalies are widely distributed in 100−200 days before earthquakes. During the γ stage, the precursory anomalies of the near-field source spread outwards.

  • 图  1   门源台周边断裂分布

    Figure  1.   Fault distribution around Menyuan station

    图  2   门源MS6.4震中附近地区观测台站及前兆异常分布图

    Figure  2.   Distribution of monitoring stations and precursory anomalies before the Menyuan MS6.4 earthquake

    图  3   门源地震前前兆异常时间进程

    Figure  3.   The time process of precursory anomalies before the Menyuan earthquake

    图  4   门源地震前异常时间随震中距的阶段变化

    Figure  4.   Stage variation of anomaly time with epicentral distance before the Menyuan earthquake

    图  5   玉树(a)和岷嶂(b)地震前异常出现时间随震中距的阶段变化

    Figure  5.   Stage-variation of anomaly time with epicentral distance before Yushu (a) and Minzhang (b) earthquakes

    表  1   门源MS6.4地震前兆异常分布

    Table  1   Distribution of precursory anomalies of the Menyuan MS6.4 earthquake

    震中距/km异常项异常台站所占比例
    100220%
    100—200329%
    200—300320%
    >300720%
    下载: 导出CSV

    表  2   门源MS6.4地震前兆异常统计

    Table  2   Statistics on precursory anomalies of the Menyuan MS6.4 earthquake

    序号异常项目台站异常出现日期
     年-月-日
    异常结束日期
     年-月-日
    异常判据震中距
    /km
    震例
    1水平摆倾斜门源2015-08-182015-08-27转折变化 31乌兰MS5.1,祁连MS5.2,门源MS6.4
    2垂直摆倾斜门源2015-08-182015-08-27转折变化 31乌兰MS5.1,祁连MS5.2,门源MS6.4
    3静水位平安2015-09-012016-01-01年变异常变化140门源MS6.4
    4钻孔倾斜湟源2015-11-012016-02-01持续北倾130门源MS6.4
    5气氡乐都2015-12-012016-03-01年变异常变化140门源MS6.4
    6钻孔倾斜寺滩2016-01-172016-01-24加速北倾203门源MS6.4
    7洞体应变白银2015-01-012015-10-01年变异常变化250玉树MS7.1,门源MS6.4
    8短基线伸缩仪NS分量兰州十
    里店
    2014-05-012016-01-01趋势转折258门源MS6.4
    9水温海原2015-08-012015-11-01转折上升350汶川MS8.0,阿拉善MS5.8,门源MS6.4
    10气氡嘉峪关2015-09-01未结束高值变化392玉门MS5.9,民乐MS6.0,海西MS6.3,
    海西MS6.4,门源MS6.4
    11钻孔应变格尔木2015-01-012016-02-01年变异常变化640海西MS6.4,玉树MS7.1,门源MS6.4
    12水平摆倾格尔木2015-01-012016-02-01趋势性转折640海西MS6.3,海西MS6.4,
    玉树MS7.1,门源MS6.4
    13深井地电天水2016-01-052016-01-21加速上升522芦山MS7.0,岷嶂MS6.6,门源MS6.4
    14地磁2015-12-232015-12-23超阈值岷嶂MS6.6,门源MS6.4,
    阿拉善MS5.0,九寨沟MS7.0
    15水温玉树2015-10-072015-11-17“V”形变化756尼泊尔MS8.0,玉树MS7.1,
    门源MS6.4,杂多MS6.2
    下载: 导出CSV
  • 陈为涛,甘卫军,肖根如,王阅兵,连尉平,梁诗明,张克亮. 2017. 2016年青海门源MS6.4地震前的区域地壳形变特征[J]. 大地测量与地球动力学,37(8):777–781.

    Chen W T,Gan W J,Xiao G R,Wang Y B,Lian W P,Liang S M,Zhang K L. 2017. The regional crustal deformation before the 2016 Menyuan MS6.4 earthquake[J]. Journal of Geodesy and Geodynamics,37(8):777–781 (in Chinese).

    郭鹏,韩竹军,安艳芬,姜文亮,毛泽斌,冯蔚. 2017. 冷龙岭断裂系活动性与2016年门源6.4级地震构造研究[J]. 中国科学:地球科学,47(5):617–630.

    Guo P,Han Z J,An Y F,Jiang W L,Mao Z B,Feng W. 2017. Activity of the Lenglongling fault system and seismotectonics of the 2016 MS6.4 Menyuan earthquake[J]. Science China Earth Sciences,60(5):929–942. doi: 10.1007/s11430-016-9007-2

    何世海. 1995. 华北地震场和源地壳形变前兆研究[J]. 地震,1(3):199–207.

    He S H. 1995. Study on the earthquake source and field precursors of crustal deformation in North China[J]. Earthquake,1(3):199–207 (in Chinese).

    胡朝忠,杨攀新,李智敏,黄帅堂,赵妍,陈丹,熊仁伟,陈庆宇. 2016. 2016年1月21日青海门源6.4级地震的发震机制探讨[J]. 地球物理学报,59(5):1637–1646. doi: 10.6038/cjg20160509

    Hu C Z,Yang P X,Li Z M,Huang S T,Zhao Y,Chen D,Xiong R W,Chen Q Y. 2016. Seismogenic mechanism of the 21 January 2016 Menyuan,Qinghai MS6.4 earthquake[J]. Chinese Journal of Geophysics,59(5):1637–1646 (in Chinese).

    黄浩,付虹,沙成宁,王培玲. 2017. 2016年青海门源MS6.4地震重定位[J]. 地震学报,39(2):176–187. doi: 10.11939/jass.2017.02.002

    Huang H,Fu H,Sha C N,Wang P L. 2017. Relocation of the 2016 MS6.4 Menyuan,Qinghai earthquake[J]. Acta Seismologica Sinica,39(2):176–187 (in Chinese).

    姜文亮,李永生,田云锋,韩竹军,张景发. 2017. 冷龙岭地区2016年青海门源6.4级地震发震构造特征[J]. 地震地质,39(3):536–549. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.0253-4967.2017.03.007

    Jiang W L,Li Y S,Tian Y F,Han Z J,Zhang J F. 2017. Research of seismogenic structure of the Menyuan MS6.4 earthquake on January 21,2016 in Lenglongling area of NE Tibetan Plateau[J]. Seismology and Geology,39(3):536–549 (in Chinese).

    李丽,张国民. 1999. 前兆场动态演化与强震成组活动[J]. 中国地震,15(4):18–31.

    Li L,Zhang G M. 1999. Evolvement of precursory field and its relation with the group of strong earthquakes[J]. Earthquake Research in China,15(4):18–31 (in Chinese).

    李霞,刘磊,冯丽丽. 2016. 2016年青海门源6.4级地震前地磁异常特征分析[J]. 地震研究,39(增刊1):122–127.

    Li X,Liu L,Feng L L. 2016. Analysis on geomagnetic precursory characteristics before Qinghai Menyuan MS6.4 earthquake in 2016[J]. Journal of Seismological Research,39(S1):122–127 (in Chinese).

    梁姗姗,雷建设,徐志国,邹立晔,刘敬光. 2017. 2016年1月21日青海门源MS6.4余震序列重定位和主震震源机制解[J]. 地球物理学报,60(6):2091–2103. doi: 10.6038/cjg20170606

    Liang S S,Lei J S,Xu Z G,Zou L H,Liu J G. 2017. Relocation of the aftershock sequence and focal mechanism solutions of the 21 January 2016 Menyuan,Qinghai,MS6.4 earthquake[J]. Chinese Journal of Geophysics,60(6):2091–2103 (in Chinese).

    刘磊,李霞,冯丽丽,祁昌炜,王佳音. 2017. 2016年门源MS6.4地震前乐都气氡异常特征[J]. 地震学报,39(2):296–299. doi: 10.11939/jass.2017.02.012

    Liu L,Li X,Feng L L,Qi C W,Wang J Y. 2017. Characteristics of gas radon concentration anomaly at Ledu before the 2016 Menyuan MS6.4 earthquake[J]. Acta Seismologica Sinica,39(2):296–299 (in Chinese).

    刘云华,张迎峰,张国宏,郑博文,单新建. 2019. 2016年1月21日门源MS6.4级地震InSAR同震形变及发震构造研究[J]. 地球物理学进展,34(3):896–907.

    Liu Y H,Zhang Y F,Zhang G H,Zheng B W,Shan X J. 2019. Study of the D-InSAR deformation field and seismotectonics of the Menyuan MS6.4 earthquake on January 21,2016[J]. Progress in Geophysics,34(3):896–907 (in Chinese).

    陆明勇,牛安福,周峥嵘. 2003. 强震中短期阶段断层活动时空演化特征的讨论[J]. 地震,23(4):1–9. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-3274.2003.04.001

    Lu M Y,Niu A F,Zhou Z R. 2003. Discussion on spatio-temporal evolutionary characteristics of faulting activity in the middle-short period of strong earthquake[J]. Earthquake,23(4):1–9 (in Chinese).

    马海萍,冯建刚,窦喜英,李晓峰,张辉. 2016. 2016年门源M6.4地震前区域地壳形变特征[J]. 遥感技术与应用,31(6):1167–1173.

    Ma H P,Feng J G,Dou X Y,Li X F,Zhang H. 2016. The crustal deformation characteristics before the Jan. 21,2016 MS6.4 Menyuan earthquake in Qinghai Province[J]. Remote Sensing Technology and Application,31(6):1167–1173 (in Chinese).

    马玉虎,马震,杨晓霞,王培玲,余娜,李霞,刘文邦. 2017. 2016年门源6.4级地震异常分析[J]. 高原地震,29(4):1–11. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1005-586X.2017.04.001

    Ma Y H,Ma Z,Yang X X,Wang P L,Yu N,Li X,Liu W B. 2016. Analysis on the precursory anomalies of Menyuan MS6.4 earthquake in 2016[J]. Plateau Earthquake Research,29(4):1–11 (in Chinese).

    马震,苏维刚. 2016. 2016年青海门源6.4级地震前青海定点形变异常[J]. 地震研究,39(增刊1):112–116.

    Ma Z,Su W G. 2016. Precursory anomalies of fixed point deformation before Qinghai Menyuan MS6.4 earthquake in 2016[J]. Journal of Seismological Research,39(S1):112–116 (in Chinese).

    梅世蓉, 冯德益, 张国民, 朱岳清, 高旭, 张肇诚. 1993. 中国地震预报概论[M]. 北京: 地震出版社: 241−263.

    Mei S Y, Feng D Y, Zhang G M, Zhu Y Q, Gao X, Zhang Z C. 1993. Introduction to Earthquake Prediction in China[M]. Beijing: Seismological Press: 241−263 (in Chinese).

    沈旭章,周元泽,张元生,刘旭宙,秦满忠,李翠芹. 2013. 青藏高原东北缘地壳结构变化的地球动力学意义[J]. 地球物理学进展,28(5):2273–2282. doi: 10.6038/pg20130509

    Shen X Z,Zhou Y Z,Zhang Y S,Liu X Z,Qin M Z,Li C Q. 2013. Geodynamic significance of the crust structure beneath the northeastern margin of Tibet[J]. Progress in Geophysics,28(5):2273–2282 (in Chinese).

    宋治平,尹祥础,梅世蓉. 2000. 包体流变模型体应变场时空演变的理论分析[J]. 地震学报,22(5):491–500. doi: 10.3321/j.issn:0253-3782.2000.05.006

    Song Z P,Yin X C,Mei S R. 2000. Theoretical analysis of the spatio-temporal evolution of the bulk-strain field based on a rheologic inclusion model[J]. Acta Seismologica Sinica,22(5):491–500 (in Chinese).

    宋治平, 薛艳. 2009. 华北中强地震前兆特征研究[M]. 上海: 上海科学技术出版社: 100−149.

    Song Z P, Xue Y. 2009. Study on Precursor Characteristics of Medium-Strong Earthquakes in North China[M]. Shanghai: Shanghai Science and Technology Press: 100−149 (in Chinese).

    苏维刚,马震,孙玺浩. 2018. 门源6.4级地震前后倾斜异常的识别与分析[J]. 高原地震,30(3):1–6. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1005-586X.2018.03.001

    Su W G,Ma Z,Sun X H. 2018. The identification and mechanism analysis of Menyuan tilt anomaly characteristics[J]. Plateau Earthquake Research,30(3):1–6 (in Chinese).

    苏小宁,孟国杰. 2017. 2016年青海门源MS6.4地震震前应变积累及同震变形特征[J]. 地震,37(4):1–9. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-3274.2017.04.001

    Su X N,Meng G J. 2017. Pre-seismic strain accumulation and co-seismic deformation from the 2016 Menyuan MS6.4 earthquake[J]. Earthquake,37(4):1–9 (in Chinese).

    屠泓为,王培玲,张晓清,马震,黄浩. 2016. 2016年青海门源6.4级地震震情跟踪概述及震后总结[J]. 地震研究,39(增刊1):9–13.

    Tu H W,Wang P L,Zhang X Q,Ma Z,Huang H. 2016. Overview of tracking of Qinghai Menyuan MS6.4 earthquake in 2016 and its post earthquake precursor anomaly summary[J]. Journal of Seismological Research,39(S1):9–13 (in Chinese).

    王培玲,苏维刚,孙丽. 2016. 2016年青海门源6.4级地震前测震学异常回顾与思考[J]. 地震研究,39(增刊1):14–19.

    Wang P L,Su W G,Sun L. 2016. Review and thinking of seismometry anomalies before Qinghai Menyuan MS6.4 earthquake in 2016[J]. Journal of Seismological Research,39(S1):14–19 (in Chinese).

    王同庆,陈石,梁伟锋,刘金钊. 2018. 2016年门源MS6.4地震前的区域重力场变化与定量参数分析[J]. 地震地质,40(2):349–360. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.0253-4967.2018.02.005

    Wang T Q,Chen S,Liang W F,Liu J Z. 2018. Variations of the gravity field and quantitative parameter analysis before the 2016 Menyuan MS6.4 earthquake[J]. Seismology and Geology,40(2):349–360 (in Chinese).

    杨晓霞,王小玲,李玉丽,孙春玲,孙丽. 2016. 2016年青海门源MS6.4地震前地下流体异常特征分析[J]. 地震研究,39(增刊1):89–94.

    Yang X X,Wang X L,Li Y L,Sun C L,Sun L. 2016. Analysis on anomaly characteristics of underground fluid before Qinghai Menyuan MS6.4 earthquake in 2016[J]. Journal of Seismological Research,39(S1):89–94 (in Chinese).

    袁道阳. 2003. 青藏高原东北缘晚新生代以来的构造变形特征与时空演化[D]. 北京: 中国地震局地质研究所: 19−21.

    Yuan D Y. 2003. Tectonic Deformation Features and Space-Time Evolution in Northeastern Margin of the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau Since the Late Cenozoic Time[D]. Beijing: Institute of Geology, China Earthquake Administration: 19−21 (in Chinese).

    张小涛,刘杰,宋治平,薛艳,张永仙,晏锐,苑争一. 2018a. 汶川MS8.0地震的前兆异常时空演化过程及其力学分析[J]. 地震,38(2):72–83. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-3274.2018.02.007

    Zhang X T,Liu J,Song Z P,Xue Y,Zhang Y X,Yan R,Yuan Z Y. 2018a. Temporal and spatial evolution of precursory anoma-lies of the 2008 Wenchuan MS8.0 earthquake and mechanical analysis[J]. Earthquake,38(2):72–83 (in Chinese).

    张小涛,宋治平,李纲. 2018b. 九寨沟MS7.0地震的前兆异常时空演化特征及其分析[J]. 中国地震,34(4):772–780. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1001-4683.2018.04.017

    Zhang X T,Song Z P,Li G. 2018b. Temporal and spatial evolution of precursory anomalies of the Jiuzhaigou MS7.0 earthquake and its analysis[J]. Earthquake Research in China,34(4):772–780 (in Chinese).

    张永仙,刘桂萍. 2000. 张北6.2级地震近震区前兆异常特征及时空演化研究[J]. 地震,20(1):53–58. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-3274.2000.01.008

    Zhang Y X,Liu G P. 2000. Study on characteristics of anomalies near by epicenter of Zhangbei MS6.2 earthquake and their spatial and temporal evolution[J]. Earthquake,20(1):53–58 (in Chinese).

    周民都,吕太乙,张元生,阮爱国. 2000. 青藏高原东北缘地质构造背景及地壳结构研究[J]. 地震学报,22(6):645–653. doi: 10.3321/j.issn:0253-3782.2000.06.011

    Zhou M D,Lü T Y,Zhang Y Y,Ruan A G. 2000. The geological structure background and the crustal structure in the northeastern margin of the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau[J]. Acta Seismologica Sinica,22(6):645–653 (in Chinese).

    祝意青,李铁明,郝明,梁伟锋,赵云峰,徐云马,郝庆花. 2016. 2016年青海门源MS6.4地震前重力变化[J]. 地球物理学报,59(10):3744–3752. doi: 10.6038/cjg20161019

    Zhu Y Q,Li T M,Hao M,Liang W F,Zhao Y F,Xu Y M,Hao Q H. 2016. Gravity changes before the Menyuan,Qinghai MS6.4 earthquake of 2016[J]. Chinese Journal of Geophysics,59(10):3744–3752 (in Chinese).

    Feng D Y. 1983. Three-stage development process of earthquake precursors:Observations and theory[J]. Journal of Seismological Research,6(2):211–226.

    Liu J Z,Wang T Q,Chen Z H,Zhang P,Zhu C D,Zhang S X. 2018. Analyzing gravity anomaly variations before the 2016 MS6.4 earthquake in Menyuan,Qinghai with an interpolation/cutting potential field separation technique[J]. Appl Geophys,15(1):137–146. doi: 10.1007/s11770-018-0665-x

  • 期刊类型引用(4)

    1. 阎春恒,李莎,倪晓寅. 广西及邻区地磁异常与显著地震关系探讨. 华北地震科学. 2022(01): 84-91+98 . 百度学术
    2. 李霞,冯丽丽,赵玉红,刘磊,苟智栋,樊文杰,贺曼秋,廖晓峰,艾萨·伊斯马伊力. 2017年西藏米林M_S6.9地震前地磁垂直强度极化异常特征. 地震学报. 2021(05): 584-594+678 . 本站查看
    3. 苏维刚,马震,冯丽丽,孙玺皓. 2021年玛多M_S 7.4地震前地球物理异常演化特征. 地震地磁观测与研究. 2021(S1): 201-202 . 百度学术
    4. 苏维刚,孙玺皓,赵玉红,马震. 群体性前兆异常的时空演化特征及成因分析. 高原地震. 2020(04): 1-5+16 . 百度学术

    其他类型引用(2)

图(5)  /  表(2)
计量
  • 文章访问数:  1978
  • HTML全文浏览量:  559
  • PDF下载量:  71
  • 被引次数: 6
出版历程
  • 收稿日期:  2019-06-18
  • 修回日期:  2019-08-07
  • 网络出版日期:  2020-04-01
  • 刊出日期:  2019-12-31

目录

    /

    返回文章
    返回