山东麦坡地震地表破裂的发现及其对1668年郯城大地震的构造意义

Discovery of the seismic surface rupture around Maipo Village in Shandong Province and its tectonic implications for the 1668 Tancheng earthquake

  • 摘要: 1668 年郯城大地震发震构造为郯庐断裂带安丘—莒县段,但其地表破裂带的南端范围长期存在争议,主要分歧为地表破裂是否穿过郯城窑上阶区继续向南扩展,确定此次历史地震地表破裂范围对评估历史地震参数及区域地震危险性意义重大。本文以窑上阶区南侧麦坡一带为研究区,通过高分辨率遥感影像解译、无人机航测及详细地质调查,识别了麦坡南北的断错微地貌特征,明确了该区域最新断层活动的几何展布与同震断错特征。结果表明,麦坡一带可见断层陡坎、断陷塘、地震鼓包、冲沟水平位错等走滑型地震形成的典型地表破裂地貌,水平右旋位错为 2.0—5.5 m,垂直位移为 0.25—1.3 m,结合区域历史地震记录和年代学研究结果,判定该地表破裂很可能为 1668 年郯城大地震的产物。综合地质证据与地震活动分布特征,证实该地震地表破裂带向南延伸至麦坡—何庄一带,总长度至少153 km,并非前人研究认为的 130 km。基于破裂长度、破裂面积与震级的经验关系,重新评估该地震矩震级约为MW7.7。郯城大地震地表破裂带的南端位置的明确和震级参数的完善为郯庐断裂带南段新沂等区域的未来地震危险性评估提供了关键地质依据。

     

    Abstract:
    Determining the extent of the surface rupture zone associated with historical earthquakes is of critical importance for accurately assessing the seismic hazard impact range, earthquake magnitude, and regional seismic risk. The 1668 Tancheng great earthquake is the largest-magnitude and most destructive historical earthquake ever recorded in eastern China, with its seismogenic structure attributed to the Anqiu–Juxian segment of the Tanlu fault zone. However, the southern terminus of its surface rupture zone has long been debated, with the primary controversy being whether the rupture extended southward across the Tancheng Yaoshang stepover. In this study, based on high-resolution remote sensing image interpretation, we conducted detailed geological surveys and UAV aerial photography on the fault geometry and offset geomorphic features in the Maipo area, located south of the Yaoshang stepover. Combined with Quaternary chronological dating, we determined the detailed characteristics of the latest fault activity and typical coseismic offset landforms in the Maipo area, and analyzed their tectonic implications for the 1668 Tancheng earthquake.
    In the northern Maipo area, typical strike-slip surface rupture features are developed, including fault scarps, sag ponds, pressure ridges (earthquake bulges), and laterally offset gullies, with horizontal right-lateral displacements of 2.0−3.3 m and vertical offsets of 0.25−1.3 m. In the southern Maipo area, a right-lateral horizontal offset of approximately 5.5 m is observed on a gully, along with fractures and an approximately 0.5 m high fault scarp on a piedmont alluvial fan, where a free face is developed on the scarp. Historical earthquake records indicate that the catalog of earthquakes with M≥6 in this region has been complete since 1448. Quaternary geochronological results show that the latest faulting activity postdates approximately 450 years ago. Taken together, these lines of evidence strongly suggest that this surface rupture is highly likely the manifestation of the 1668 Tancheng earthquake.
    Integrating the geological evidence with the distribution characteristics of seismic activity, we confirm that the surface rupture zone of this earthquake extends southward to the Maipo–Hezhuang area, attaining a total length of at least 153 km, rather than the previously estimated 130 km. Based on empirical relationships among rupture length, rupture area, and earthquake magnitude, we reassess the moment magnitude of the 1668 Tancheng earthquake to be approximately MW7.7. In addition, relatively fresh typical strike-slip fault micro-landforms such as earthquake bulges are observed in the northern Maipo area, which may be closely related to the protection by a cohesive meadow layer and weak human activity at this site. This study definitively locates the southern terminus of the surface rupture zone of the 1668 Tancheng earthquake, refines its magnitude parameters, and provides critical geological constraints for future seismic hazard assessment in the southern Tanlu fault zone, including the Xinyi area.

     

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