巴颜喀拉块体强震动力学过程数值模拟

Numerical simulation on strong earthquake dynamic process of Bayan Har block

  • 摘要: 以青藏高原为目标采用弹性体本构关系, 模拟印度板块持续向北推进、 挤压对巴颜喀拉块体及邻区的影响. 通过降低强震发生位置处单元弹性模量的方法, 模拟1900年以来发生在巴颜喀拉块体及周缘MS≥7.0强震, 计算序列中前面地震对后续强震的影响. 模拟结果表明: ① 巴颜喀拉块体背景场应力水平大致与块体西部等效应力同等大小, 自西向东逐渐递减, 巴颜喀拉块体西部和中部等效应力从南向北逐渐递减, 东部地区等效应力比较低; ② 模拟的14次地震序列中, 有8次发生在前面强震所引起的等效应力增大的区域内, 2次发生在等效应力增大和减小的过渡区域内, 3次发生在等效应力减小的区域内; ③ 从强震序列所引起的应力相互作用看, 历史地震对1970年以来发生的地震影响结果为: 历史地震加速了1973年亦基台错、 1997年玛尼和2001年昆仑山口西地震的发生, 昆仑山口西地震对汶川地震的影响较小, 汶川地震对玉树地震的发生不具有加速触发作用.

     

    Abstract: In this paper, we used the elastic constitutive relation to simulate the effect induced from the Indian plate everlasting northward collision on the Bayan Har block and surroundings on the Qinghai--Tibet plateau. By reducing the element elastic modulus at the earthquake location, a number of numerical simulations have been made for the strong earthquakes (MS≥7.0) since 1900, and also for the influence from the former earthquake on the latter. We obtained the following results: ① The background stress is higher in the west as expressed in equivalent stress, and decreases gradually to the east; in the middle-west of the block the stress level decreases gradually from south to north with equivalent stress obviously low in the east. ② In the strong earthquake series eight earthquakes were triggered before their occurrence and three were delayed, while other two were in the sress transition zone. ③ From the stress interaction between the strong earthquakes before and after 1970, we may conclud that the historic earthquakes triggered the 1973 Yijitaicuo earthquake, the 1997 Mani earthquake and the 2001 Kunlun Mountain Pass earthquake, while the influence of Kunlun Mountain Pass quake on the Wenchuan quake is insignificant, and the effect of Wenchuan quake on the Yushu earthquake is unobvious.

     

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