系统科学在京津地区断层形变网络与地震关系研究中的应用.
THE APPLICATION OF SYSTEM SCIENCE TO THE STUDY OF THE RELATION BETWEEN THE FAULT DEFORMATION NETWORK IN THE BEIJING-TIANJIN AREA AND EARTHQUAKES
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摘要: 本文用系统科学(信息论方法)的部分原理和方法,对华北地区断层形变网络与地震的关系进行了系统的分析和处理.结果证明,唐山地震前,作为与发震断层有关的京津地区断层形变网络具有明显的群体异常特征.以此特征来预测,时间在未来一年,范围在150km,震级7.0的地震具有实际意义.Abstract: A systematic analysis and processing of the relation between the fault deformation network in the Beijing -Tianjin area and earthquakes by part of the principle and method of system science (Information theory ) is reported in this paper. The result of the study indicates that the fault deformation network in the Beijing-Tianjin area, where the faults are related to the occurrence of earthquakes, exhibited obvious features of colonies of anomalies before the Tangshan earthquake of 1976 With this feature, there is special meaning to the prediction of earthquakes with magnitude 7.0 in the time of the coming year, with in the range of 150 km.
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[1] 周硕愚, 1988.系统科学导引, 33——58.地震出版社,北京.
[2] 周硕愚、黄慧风、宋永厚、韩键,1986.用信息论方法研究大震前的突变异常.地震学报.8,增刊.121——132
[3] 马廷著、黄佩玉. 1982.京津唐地区活动断裂现代运动特征.中国活动断层. 38——39.地震出版社,北京.
[4] 周硕愚1988.地壳运动与蕴震系统的自组织与前兆场的有序演进.中国地震. 8 . 4 . 40——47.[1] 周硕愚, 1988.系统科学导引, 33——58.地震出版社,北京.
[2] 周硕愚、黄慧风、宋永厚、韩键,1986.用信息论方法研究大震前的突变异常.地震学报.8,增刊.121——132
[3] 马廷著、黄佩玉. 1982.京津唐地区活动断裂现代运动特征.中国活动断层. 38——39.地震出版社,北京.
[4] 周硕愚1988.地壳运动与蕴震系统的自组织与前兆场的有序演进.中国地震. 8 . 4 . 40——47.
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