梯级电站系统的地震危险性评价方法初步研究

A preliminary research on the methodology of assessing  seismic hazard of cascade hydropower station system

  • 摘要: 对梯级电站大坝以及梯级电站系统进行了一些简化和假定,分析了梯级电站系统地震危险性的主要来源,重点研究了上游大坝对下游相邻大坝的附加危险性影响,将全部梯级电站作为一个整体,提出了梯级电站系统地震危险性评价方法.以大渡河干流梯级电站系统为分析实例,考虑汶川8.0级地震后地震环境的变化,评价了该系统在现今地震环境下的危险性.根据梯级电站系统的特性,考虑电站规划、设计、施工的技术经济可行性.经分析指出,提高梯级电站系统最薄弱的几个电站的设防参数,是提高系统地震安全性的最有效的途径.

     

    Abstract: Firstly we made some simplifications and hypotheses to cascade hydropower stations and cascade hydropower station system, then analyzed the main components that have influence on seismic hazard of cascade hydropower station system. By taking all the cascade hydropower stations as one unified system and account of the additional seismic hazard from the nearby upstream dam, we propose a new method to assess the seismic hazard of cascade hydropower station system. Taking the change of seismic background after the Wenchuan MS8.0 earthquake into account, we took the cascade hydropower station system in the trunk stream of Dadu river as a case study and evaluated its system seismic hazard nowadays. Based on the characteristics of cascade hydropower station system and considering the technological and economical feasibilities in its planning, designing and constructing, we think that it is the most effective path to improve the system seismic safety by raising the design seismic parameters of the several weakest hydropower stations.

     

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