论大气环流突变对大地震的激发作用

ON THE TRIGGER ACTION OF THE ABRUPT CHANGE OF ATMOSPHERIC CIRCULATION ON THE OCCURRENCES OF STRONG EARTHQUAKES

  • 摘要: 本文研究了云南省大地震前中高纬度西风带、副热带高压以及孟加拉湾低槽的活动.借助于统计试验,找到了经向环流指数的突变特征和相应的地面气压场的空间分布模型,从而给出了云南省大地震(M7)的一种短期预报的可能性.

     

    Abstract: This paper deals with the activity of the medium-high latitude westerly wind belt, the subtropical high pressure and the Monghala (孟加拉) pressure trough before strong earthquakes in Yunnan province. With the aid of statistical experiments, a feature of abrupt change of the meridianal circulation index and the pattern of spatial distribution of the surface pressure field has been found. It gives a possibility of short-range prediction of strong earthquakes, M7 in Yunnan.

     

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