旱涝变化用于川滇强震中期预报的统计研究
A STATISTICAL STUDY OF MEDIUM-RANGE PREDICTION OF STRONG EARTHQUAKES IN SICHUAN AND YNNAN PROVINCES BY ATMOSPHERIC PRECIPITATION(DROUGHT AND FLOOD)
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摘要: 根据强震与震中区年降雨量的相关分析, 将川、滇两省划分成6个强震活动区.由此, 通过一种迭代算法, 又分别导出了6个 M6的强震活动区和川、滇两省 M7的强震的中期预报方程.Abstract: It is suugested to divide the Sichuan and Yunnan provinces into six strong seismieactiv regions based on the correlation analysis of strong earthquakes and annual amount of rainfall in the epicentral areas. Then, by means of a iterative method of computation, equations of medium range prediction for strong earthquakes, M 6 of the six regions and for earthquakes, M7 of both the Sichuan and Yunnan provinces.
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[1] 赵洪声, 初探干旱与地震发生的关系, 地球物理学报, 17, 4, 219——230, 1974.
[2] 兰州地震大队气象地震组编, 气象与地震, 地震出版社, 1976.
[3] 曹鸿兴、陈国范, 应用线性学习机原理作分类预报, 数学的实践与认识, 4, 5——10, 1978.[1] 赵洪声, 初探干旱与地震发生的关系, 地球物理学报, 17, 4, 219——230, 1974.
[2] 兰州地震大队气象地震组编, 气象与地震, 地震出版社, 1976.
[3] 曹鸿兴、陈国范, 应用线性学习机原理作分类预报, 数学的实践与认识, 4, 5——10, 1978.
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