卢显,刘杰,薛艳,晏锐,姜祥华,李祖宁,邓世广,苑争一. 2023. 台湾地区强震活动特征分析. 地震学报,45(0):1−14. doi: 10.11939/jass.20220221
引用本文: 卢显,刘杰,薛艳,晏锐,姜祥华,李祖宁,邓世广,苑争一. 2023. 台湾地区强震活动特征分析. 地震学报,45(0):1−14. doi: 10.11939/jass.20220221
Lu X,Liu J,Xue Y,Yan R,Jiang X H,Li Z N,Deng S G,Yuan Z. 2023. Analysis of Strong Earthquake Activity Characteristics in Taiwan. Acta Seismologica Sinica45(0):1−14. doi: 10.11939/jass.20220221
Citation: Lu X,Liu J,Xue Y,Yan R,Jiang X H,Li Z N,Deng S G,Yuan Z. 2023. Analysis of Strong Earthquake Activity Characteristics in Taiwan. Acta Seismologica Sinica45(0):1−14. doi: 10.11939/jass.20220221

台湾地区强震活动特征分析

Analysis of Strong Earthquake Activity Characteristics in Taiwan

  • 摘要: 基于定性分析和Morlet小波分析方法,研究了台湾地区的主要构造带和强震分布特征。1900年以来台湾地区M≥7.0地震存在三个活跃时段:第一个活跃时段为1902—1925年,长达近23年;第二个活跃时段为1935—1978年,约44年;第三个活跃时段为1986—2006年,时长20年。台湾自2006年12月26日在恒春海域发生MS7.2地震之后,MS≥7.0地震平静已近16年,为历史最长平静时间,存在开始新的活跃时段的可能。分区域看,台湾东带MS≥6.9地震具有六个活动周期,大部分活动周期平均持续时间约为16年,每个活动周期包含活跃和平静时段,所有的MS≥6.9地震都发生在活跃时段,统计显示台湾东带的活动强度自2002年进入第6个活动周期后逐渐减弱,直到2022年9月份台湾东带才再次发生MS6.9地震,有可能开始新一轮的活跃时段。台湾西带MS≥6.0地震存在92年左右和14年左右的周期,1901—1993年为一个活跃-平静大周期(92年左右),1994年开始新一轮的大周期活动,同时,大周期又包含平均周期为14年左右的小周期。Nowcasting方法计算的小震积累水平显示台湾东带MS≥7.0地震和台湾西带MS≥6.0地震具有较高的发震背景概率,台湾地区强震在年尺度上与华南地区中强地震具有一定的对应关系。

     

    Abstract: Based on qualitative analysis and Morlet wavelet method, the distribution characteristics of the main tectonic zones and strong earthquakes in Taiwan are studied. There have been three active periods of M≥7.0 earthquakes in Taiwan since 1900. The first active period was from 1902 to 1925, which lasted nearly 23 years; The second active period was from 1935 to 1978, about 44 years; The third active period was from 1986 to 2006, lasting 20 years. Since the Hengchun sea area MS7.2 earthquake in Taiwan on December 26, 2006, Taiwan earthquakes above MS7.0 have been quiet for nearly 16 years, which is the longest quiet time in history, and there is a possibility of a new active period. From the regional perspective, MS≥6.9 earthquakes in the eastern Taiwan had 6 active cycles, most of which lasted about 16 years on average. Each active cycle included active and quiet periods, and all MS≥6.9 earthquakes occurred in active periods. Statistics show that the activity intensity of the eastern Taiwan had gradually weakened since 2002, when it entered the sixth active cycle. A new active period may have started since the Hualian MS6.9 earthquake occurred in the eastern Taiwan on September 2022. MS≥6.0 Earthquakes in the western zone of Taiwan have cycles of about 92 years and 14 years. 1901−1993 was an large active-quiet cycle (about 92 years). A new round of large cycle activity began from 1994. At the same time, the large cycle also included some small cycles with an average period of 14 years. The accumulation level of small earthquakes calculated by the Nowcasting method shows that the MS≥7.0 earthquakes in the eastern zone of Taiwan and MS≥6.0 earthquakes in the western zone of Taiwan have a high background probability of earthquake occurrence, and the strong earthquakes in Taiwan have a certain corresponding relationship with the moderate-strong earthquakes in South China on an annual scale.

     

/

返回文章
返回