Dynamic characteristics of fault hydrogen concentration in Aksu and its earthquake reflecting efficiency

Zhong Jun; Wang Bo; Yan Wei; Ma Yuchuan

doi:10.11939/jass.20210007

Acta Seismologica Sinica > 2021 > 43(5): 615-627. > DOI: 10.11939/jass.20210007

Zhong J，Wang B，Yan W，Ma Y C. 2021. Dynamic characteristics of fault hydrogen concentration in Aksu and its earthquake reflecting efficiency. Acta Seismologica Sinica，43（5）：615−627. DOI: 10.11939/jass.20210007

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Dynamic characteristics of fault hydrogen concentration in Aksu and its earthquake reflecting efficiency

Zhong Jun¹,
Wang Bo^{1, 2, 3, ,},
Yan Wei⁴,
Ma Yuchuan^{1, 5}

1.
China Earthquake Networks Center，Beijing 100045，China
2.
Institute of Geology，China Earthquake Administration，Beijing 100029，China
3.
State Key Laboratory of Earthquake Dynamics，Beijing 100029，China
4.
Earthquake Agency of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region，Ürümqi 830011，China
5.
School of Water Resources and Environment，China University of Geosciences (Beijing)，Beijing 100083，China

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Received Date: January 16, 2021
Revised Date: April 01, 2021
Available Online: October 10, 2021
Published Date: September 29, 2021

Graphical Abstract

Abstract

Abstract

This paper firstly analyzed the periodic components of the fault hydrogen concentration observation data in Aksu, and then explored the relationship between temperature, atmospheric pressure and the annual periodic components of hydrogen concentration using the linear regression and cross-correlation methods, respectively. At the same time, the Molchan error diagram method was used to quantitatively verify the earthquake reflecting efficiency of fault hydrogen in Aksu. The results show that: ① Fault hydrogen concentration in Aksu has clear annual and semi-daily periodic components; ② There is a significant positive correlation between the annual dynamic changes of fault hydrogen concentration and temperature, and a general correlation between the annual dynamic changes of hydrogen concentration and atmospheric pressure, indicating that the annual periodic changes of hydrogen concentration are mainly affected by temperature. The results from Molchan error diagram method show that the fault hydrogen concentration anomaly in Aksu is more sensitive to moderate-strong earthquakes around the observation point, suggesting better earthquake reflecting efficiency.
- fault gas,
- hydrogen concentration,
- Molchan error diagram,
- earthquake reflecting efficiency

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References (76)

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