Citation: | Zhu L,Dai Y,Shi F Q,Shao H C. 2022. Coulomb stress evolution and seismic hazards along the Qilian-Haiyuan fault zone. Acta Seismologica Sinica,44(2):223−236. DOI: 10.11939/jass.20220012 |
陈为涛,甘卫军,万永革,肖根如,孟令超. 2013. 青藏高原东北缘4个强震重点监视区库仑破裂应力的近百年变化和危险性分析[J]. 吉林大学学报(地球科学版),43(2):494–505.
|
Chen W T,Gan W J,Wan Y G,Xiao G R,Meng L C. 2013. Coulomb failure stress and earthquake risk analysis of several four earthquake concerned zone on northeastern Tibetan Plateau in nearly hundred years[J]. Journal of Jilin University (Earth Science Edition)
|
傅征祥,刘桂萍,陈棋福. 2001. 青藏高原北缘海原、古浪、昌马大地震间相互作用的动力学分析[J]. 地震地质,23(1):35–42. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.0253-4967.2001.01.004
|
Fu Z X,Liu G P,Chen Q F. 2001. Dynamic analysis on interaction between the Haiyuan-Gulang-Changma great earthquake in the north boundary of the Tibetan Plateau[J]. Seismology and Geology,23(1):35–42 (in Chinese).
|
国家地震局兰州地震研究所, 宁夏回族自治区地震局. 1980. 1920年海原大地震[M]. 北京: 地震出版社: 118.
|
Lanzhou Institute of Seismology, State Seismological Bureau, Seismological Bureau of Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region. 1980. The 1920 Haiyuan Earthquake[M]. Beijing: Seismological Press: 118 (in Chinese).
|
韩竹军, 牛鹏飞, 李科长, 吕丽星. 2022. 2022年1月8日青海门源6.9级地震的一些初步认识[EB/OL]. [2022-01-18]. https://www.eq-igl.ac.cn/zhxw/info/2022/36632.html.
|
Han Z J, Niu P F, Li K Z, Lü L X. 2022. Preliminary acknowledgements on the Jan. 8, 2022, Menyuan MS6.9 earthquake[EB/OL]. [2022-01-18]. https://www.eq-igl.ac.cn/zhxw/info/2022/36632.html (in Chinese).
|
李振洪, 韩炳权, 刘振江, 张苗苗, 余琛, 陈博, 刘海辉, 杜静, 张双成, 朱武, 张勤, 彭建兵. 2022. InSAR数据约束下的2016年和2022年青海门源地震震源参数及其滑动分布[J]. 武汉大学学报(信息科学版), doi: 10.13203/j.whugis20220037.
|
Li Z H, Han B Q, Liu Z J, Zhang M M, Yu C, Chen B, Liu H H, Du J, Zhang S C, Zhu W, Zhang Q, Peng J B. Source parameters and slip distributions of the 2016 and 2022 Menyuan, Qinghai earthquakes constrained by InSAR observations[J]. Geomatics and Information Science of Wuhan University, doi: 10.13203/j.whugis20220037 (in Chinese).
|
M7专项工作组. 2012. 中国大陆大地震中-长期危险性研究[M]. 北京: 地震出版社: 196.
|
Working Group of M7. 2012. Study on the Mid-to-Long Term Potential of Large Earthquakes on the Chinese Continent[M]. Beijing: Seismological Press: 196 (in Chinese).
|
梅秀苹,邵志刚,张浪平,冯建刚,代炜. 2012. 南北地震带北段强震破裂空段的地震危险性研究[J]. 地震学报,34(4):509–525. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.0253-3782.2012.04.008
|
Mei X P,Shao Z G,Zhang L P,Feng J G,Dai W. 2012. Study on potential earthquake risk of unbroken active faults in the northern segment of the North-South Seismic Zone[J]. Acta Seismologica Sinica,34(4):509–525 (in Chinese).
|
邵志刚,傅容珊,薛霆虓,黄建华. 2008. 昆仑山MS8.1级地震震后变形场数值模拟与成因机理探讨[J]. 地球物理学报,51(3):805–816. doi: 10.3321/j.issn:0001-5733.2008.03.021
|
Shao Z G,Fu R S,Xue T X,Huang J H. 2008. The numerical simulation and discussion on mechanism of postseismic deformation after Kunlun MS8.1 earthquake[J]. Chinese Journal of Geophysics,51(3):805–816 (in Chinese).
|
沈正康. 2003. 东昆仑活动断裂带大地震之间的黏弹性应力触发研究[J]. 地球物理学报,46(6):786–795. doi: 10.3321/j.issn:0001-5733.2003.06.010
|
Shen Z K. 2003. Viscoelastic triggering among large earthquakes along the east Kunlun fault system[J]. Chinese Journal of Geophysics,46(6):786–795 (in Chinese).
|
石富强,邵志刚,占伟,丁晓光,朱琳,李玉江. 2018. 青藏高原东北缘活动断裂剪切模量及应力状态数值模拟[J]. 地球物理学报,61(9):3651–3663. doi: 10.6038/cjg2018L0631
|
Shi F Q,Shao Z G,Zhan W,Ding X G,Zhu L,Li Y J. 2018. Numerical modeling of the shear modulus and stress state of active faults in the northeastern margin of the Tibetan Plateau[J]. Chinese Journal of Geophysics,61(9):3651–3663 (in Chinese).
|
石富强,张辉,邵志刚,徐晶,邵辉成,李玉江. 2020. 华北地区库仑应力演化与强震活动关系[J]. 地球物理学报,63(9):3338–3354. doi: 10.6038/cjg2020O0094
|
Shi F Q,Zhang H,Shao Z G,Xu J,Shao H C,Li Y J. 2020. Coulomb stress evolution and stress interaction among strong earthquakes in North China[J]. Chinese Journal of Geophysics,63(9):3338–3354 (in Chinese).
|
孙云强,罗纲. 2018. 青藏高原东北缘地震时空迁移的有限元数值模拟[J]. 地球物理学报,61(6):2246–2264. doi: 10.6038/cjg2018L0401
|
Sun Y Q,Luo G. 2018. Spatial-temporal migration of earthquakes in the northeastern Tibetan Plateau:Insights from a finite element model[J]. Chinese Journal of Geophysics,61(6):2246–2264 (in Chinese).
|
万永革,沈正康,曾跃华,盛书中. 2007. 青藏高原东北部的库仑应力积累演化对大地震发生的影响[J]. 地震学报,29(2):115–129. doi: 10.3321/j.issn:0253-3782.2007.02.001
|
Wan Y G,Shen Z K,Zeng Y H,Sheng S Z. 2007. Evolution of cumulative Coulomb failure stress in northeastern Qinghai-Xizang (Tibetan) Plateau and its effect on large earthquake occurrence[J]. Acta Seismologica Sinica,29(2):115–129 (in Chinese).
|
袁道阳. 2022. 科考简讯| 第二次青藏高原综合科学考察研究任务九专题: 对2022年1月8日青海门源6.9级地震应急科学考察取得重要阶段性成果[EB/OL]. [2022-01-14]. https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/ArKFPnu_lby6tRcH69XLOQ.
|
Yuan D Y. 2022. Special topic of the ninth research task of the secondary comprehensive scientific investigation on the Tibetan Plateau: Achievement of the emergency scientific investigation of the Jan. 8, 2022 Menyuan M6.9 earthquake[EB/OL]. [2022-01-14]. https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/ArKFPnu_lby6tRcH69XLOQ (in Chinese).
|
张瑞,张竹琪,郑德文,刘兴旺,雷启云,邵延秀. 2021. 鄂尔多斯活动地块西缘强震间库仑应力作用[J]. 地球物理学报,64(10):3576–3599. doi: 10.6038/cjg2021P0008
|
Zhang R,Zhang Z Q,Zheng D W,Liu X W,Lei Q Y,Shao Y X. 2021. Coulomb stress transfer of strong earthquakes within tectonic belts near western Ordos block[J]. Chinese Journal of Geophysics,64(10):3576–3599 (in Chinese).
|
张旭,冯万鹏,许力生,李春来. 2017. 2017年九寨沟MS7.0级地震震源过程反演与烈度估计[J]. 地球物理学报,60(10):4105–4116. doi: 10.6038/cjg20171035
|
Zhang X,Feng W P,Xu L S,Li C L. 2017. The source-process inversion and the intensity estimation of the 2017 MS7.0 Jiuzhaigou earthquake[J]. Chinese Journal of Geophysics,60(10):4105–4116 (in Chinese).
|
中国地震台网中心. 2022. 1月8日1时45分在青海海北州门源县发生6.9级地震[EB/OL]. [2022-01-08]. https://www.cenc.ac.cn/cenc/dzxx/396391/index.html.
|
China Earthquake Networks Center. 2022. An earthquake with MS6.9 occurred in Menyuan County, Haibei Prefecture, Qinghai Province, at 1:45 on January 8[EB/OL]. [2022-01-08]. https://www.cenc.ac.cn/cenc/dzxx/396391/index.html (in Chinese).
|
Ali S T,Freed A M,Calais E,Manaker D M,Mccann W R. 2008. Coulomb stress evolution in northeastern Caribbean over the past 250 years due to coseismic,postseismic and interseismic deformation[J]. Geophys J Int,174(3):904–918. doi: 10.1111/j.1365-246X.2008.03634.x
|
Broerse T,Riva R,Simons W,Govers R,Vermeersen B. 2015. Postseismic GRACE and GPS observations indicate a rheology contrast above and below the Sumatra slab[J]. J Geophys Res:Solid Earth,120(7):5343–5361. doi: 10.1002/2015JB011951
|
Guo P,Han Z,Gao F,Zhu C,Gai H. 2020. A new tectonic model for the 1927 M8.0 Gulang earthquake on the NE Tibetan Plateau[J]. Tectonics,39(9):e2020T–e6064T.
|
Han L,Liu Z J,Yao W,Shao Y,Yuan Z,Wang Y. 2021. Coseismic slip gradient at the western terminus of the 1920 Haiyuan MW7.9 earthquake[J]. J Struct Geol,152:104442. doi: 10.1016/j.jsg.2021.104442
|
Harris R A. 1998. Introduction to special section:Stress triggers,stress shadows,and implications for seismic hazard[J]. J Geophys Res,103(10):24347–24358.
|
He J,Lu S,Wang W. 2013. Three-dimensional mechanical modeling of the GPS velocity field around the northeastern Tibetan Plateau and surrounding regions[J]. Tectonophysics,584:257–266. doi: 10.1016/j.tecto.2012.03.025
|
Huang M,Bürgmann R,Freed A M. 2014. Probing the lithospheric rheology across the eastern margin of the Tibetan Plateau[J]. Earth Planet Sci Lett,396:88–96. doi: 10.1016/j.jpgl.2014.04.003
|
Jia K,Zhou S Y,Zhuang J C,Jiang C S,Guo Y C,Gao Z H,Gao S S. 2018. Did the 2008 MW7.9 Wenchuan earthquake trigger the occurrence of the 2017 MW6.5 Jiuzhaigou earthquake in Sichuan,China?[J]. J Geophys Res:Solid Earth,123(4):2965–2983. doi: 10.1002/2017JB015165
|
Jia K,Zhou S Y,Zhuang J C,Jiang C S. 2021. Stress transfer along the western boundary of the Bayan Har block on the Tibet Plateau from the 2008 to 2020 Yutian earthquake sequence in China[J]. Geophys Res Lett,48(15):e2021G–e94125G.
|
King G C,Stein R S,Lin J. 1994. Static stress changes and the triggering of earthquakes[J]. Bull Seismol Soc Am,84(3):935–953.
|
Kroll K A,Richards‐Dinger K B,Dieterich J H,Cochran E S. 2017. Delayed seismicity rate changes controlled by static stress transfer[J]. J Geophys Res:Solid Earth,122(10):7951–7965. doi: 10.1002/2017JB014227
|
Li Y C,Shan X J,Qu C Y,Zhang Y F,Song X G,Jang Y,Zhang G H,Nocquet J M,Gong W Y,Gan W J,Wang C S. 2017. Elastic block and strain modeling of GPS data around the Haiyuan-Liupanshan fault,northeastern Tibetan Plateau[J]. J Asian Earth Sci,150:87–97. doi: 10.1016/j.jseaes.2017.10.010
|
Parsons T,Dreger D S. 2000. Static‐stress impact of the 1992 Landers earthquake sequence on nucleation and slip at the site of the 1999 M=7.1 Hector Mine earthquake,southern California[J]. Geophys Res Lett,27(13):1949–1952. doi: 10.1029/1999GL011272
|
Pollitz F F, Banerjee P, Bürgmann R, Hashimoto M, Choosakul N. 2006. Stress changes along the Sunda trench following the 26 December 2004 Sumatra‐Andaman and 28 March 2005 Nias earthquakes[J]. Geophys Res Lett, 33(6): L06309. doi: 10.1029/2005GL024558.
|
Shan B,Xiong X,Wang R J,Zheng Y,Yadav R B S. 2015. Stress evolution and seismic hazard on the Maqin-Maqu segment of east Kunlun fault zone from co-,post- and interseismic stress changes[J]. Geophys J Int,200(1):244–253. doi: 10.1093/gji/ggu395
|
Shen Z K,Sun J B,Zhang P Z,Wan Y G,Wang M,Bürgmann R,Zeng Y H,Gan W J,Liao H,Wang Q L. 2009. Slip maxima at fault junctions and rupturing of barriers during the 2008 Wenchuan earthquake[J]. Nat Geosci,2(10):718–724. doi: 10.1038/ngeo636
|
Steacy S, Marsan D, Nalbant S S, Mccloskey J. 2004. Sensitivity of static stress calculations to the earthquake slip distribution[J]. J Geophys Res: Solid Earth, 109(B4): B04303.
|
Stein R S,Barka A A,Dieterich J H. 1997. Progressive failure on the North Anatolian fault since 1939 by earthquake stress triggering[J]. Geophys J Int,128(3):594–604. doi: 10.1111/j.1365-246X.1997.tb05321.x
|
Stein R S. 1999. The role of stress transfer in earthquake occurrence[J]. Nature,402(6762):605–609. doi: 10.1038/45144
|
Toda S, Lin J, Meghraoui M, Stein R S. 2008. 12 May 2008 M=7.9 Wenchuan, China, earthquake calculated to increase failure stress and seismicity rate on three major fault systems[J]. Geophys Res Lett, 35(17), doi: 10.1029/2008GL034903.
|
USGS. 2021. M7.3: Southern Qinghai, China[EB/OL]. [2021-05-21]. https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/eventpage/us7000e54r/executive.
|
Verdecchia A,Pace B,Visini F,Scotti O,Peruzza L,Benedetti L. 2018. The role of viscoelastic stress transfer in long‐term earthquake cascades:Insights after the central Italy 2016–2017 seismic sequence[J]. Tectonics,37(10):3411–3428. doi: 10.1029/2018TC005110
|
Wan Y G,Shen Z K. 2010. Static Coulomb stress changes on faults caused by the 2008 MW7.9 Wenchuan,China earthquake[J]. Tectonophysics,491(1/2/3/4):105–118. doi: 10.1016/j.tecto.2010.03.017
|
Wang J J,Xu C J,Freymueller J T,Li Z H,Shen W B. 2014. Sensitivity of Coulomb stress change to the parameters of the Coulomb failure model:A case study using the 2008 MW7.9 Wenchuan earthquake[J]. J Geophys Res:Solid Earth,119(4):3371–3392. doi: 10.1002/2012JB009860
|
Wang R,Lorenzo-Martín F,Roth F. 2006. PSGRN/PSCMP:A new code for calculating co- and post-seismic deformation,geoid and gravity changes based on the viscoelastic-gravitational dislocation theory[J]. Comput Geosci,32(4):527–541. doi: 10.1016/j.cageo.2005.08.006
|
Wells D L,Coppersmith K J. 1994. New empirical relationships among magnitude,rupture length,rupture width,rupture area,and surface displacement[J]. Bull Seismol Soc Am,84(4):974–1002.
|
Xiao J,He J. 2015. 3D finite-element modeling of earthquake interaction and stress accumulation on main active faults around the northeastern Tibetan Plateau edge in the past ~100 years[J]. Bull Seismol Soc Am,105(5):2724–2735. doi: 10.1785/0120140342
|
Yang H F, Wang D, Guo R M, Xie M Y, Zang Y, Wang Y, Yao Q, Cheng C, An Y R, Zhang Y Y. 2022. Rapid report of the 8 January 2022 MS6.9 Menyuan earthquake, Qinghai, China[J]. Earthquake Research Advances, 100113.
|
Zhang Meng, Pan Hua. 2022: A new method for expressing seismic hazards. Acta Seismologica Sinica, 44(6): 1099-1110. DOI: 10.11939/jass.20210106 | |
Li Changlong, Xu Weijin, Wu Jian, Gao Mengtan. 2015: Time-dependent probabilistic seismic hazard analysis methods and its applications based on characteristic earthquake models. Acta Seismologica Sinica, 37(6): 1024-1036. DOI: 10.11939/jass.2015.06.012 | |
Shao Yanxiu, Yuan Daoyang, Liang Mingjian. 2015: Seismic risk assessment of Longling-Lancang fault zone, southwestern Yunnan. Acta Seismologica Sinica, 37(6): 1011-1023. DOI: 10.11939/jass.2015.06.011 | |
Xu WeijinGao Mengtan. 2012: Seismic hazard estimate using spatially smoothed seismicity model as spatial distribution function. Acta Seismologica Sinica, 34(4): 526-536. | |
Zhong QiuShi Baopingdivcom sh advance. 2012: Aftershock duration of the 1976 MS7.8 Tangshan earthquake and implication for seismic hazard estimation. Acta Seismologica Sinica, 34(4): 494-508. | |
p class=MsoNormal style=margin: 0cm 0cm 0ptLei Jiancheng Gao Mengtan Wu Jian Kang Chuanchuanloans.com sh advancelucashadv. 2011: A preliminary research on the methodology of assessing seismic hazard of cascade hydropower station system. Acta Seismologica Sinica, 33(3): 373-385. | |
Shen Jianwenup, Hua Yipingup, Qiu Yingup, Kong Lingleiup2loans.com sh advance lucashadv. 1989: EMPIRICAL POINT-ELLIPSE MODEL FOR SEISMIC HAZARD ANALYSIS. Acta Seismologica Sinica, 11(3): 259-267. | |
LIAO ZHENPENG, LI DAHUA, SUN PINGSHANcom sh advance. 1988: A PROBABILITY MODEL OF SEISMIC INTENSITY ATTENUATION IN CHINA. Acta Seismologica Sinica, 10(2): 146-163. |